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LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

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LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come with statement victories into this Saturdays game.
LSU moved to Texas and beat against the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take a top-four spot in the race over .
The defense of florida leads the solution in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into making poor decisions last week, as he went 11 for 27 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. That contains the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in Together with Death Valley awaitings roar. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 defense keep this near? Or will Burrow as well as win the wager up and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Here is the full breakdown.
There is very little doubt in Burrows skill anymore. Hes transformed into a Heisman candidate, obtaining a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the very best receiving groups in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has mastered in some huge games. Chase is a physical existence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that will fill the place. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the roughest DB unit theyve played with . Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by the additional competitions of LSU: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Though its safe to say theyve yet to perform a QB of the standard of Burrow, florida sits in 33rd. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a ton of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but still has a high ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will even face a ominous pass-rush, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami on the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup Even though his consciousness need to enhance in the pocket. Auburns is possibly the best in the country, and ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is currently 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. The Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee in the previous game.
With all the LBs involved in the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit should develop big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is frequently considered DBU for the gift they possess on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, if not more, in 2019.
Would likely soon be Kristian Fulton, that enabled the least amount of downs out of all returning FBS corners. Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, who hasnt got their running game going this season. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his way into an 88-yard TD run last weekend. In spite of that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky game.
Should they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going regularly, it puts ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world after a week. And while I dont expect them to come out in Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this sport staying many.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to install 45 or anything near this against a defense who is known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the group has relied on them, the Gators defense will work out over time. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic from Jefferson or the bodily Chase to a PIs.
However, I do not anticipate this. Keeping the match in a lot of a slog until afterward makes Florida the suitable bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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