The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays match with statement victories.
LSU defeat against the Longhorns in week two and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take more than a place in the race .
Floridas defense leads the way in their opinion. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a stage in the 4th quarter because their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into making bad decisions last week, as he went 11 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the greatest start in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That includes the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
As underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in Together with the roar of Death Valley awaiting. Can the No. 5 grading defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will the No. 2 passing offense as well as Burrow keep rolling up and also win the bet? Heres the full breakdown.
Theres hardly any doubt in the skill of Burrow anymore. Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, having an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the best getting groups in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some big games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that can fill the area. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit theyve played with all season. Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by LSUs other opponents: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida currently sits at 33rd, although its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of all the caliber of Burrow. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a ton of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a high ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will confront a menacing pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as best pass-rusher coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While his awareness must improve he has to get flustered by an opposing line. Auburns according ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is arguably the finest in the country to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. The Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not mobile outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and also sprained a knee.
Together with all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most considered DBU for the talent they have on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not more, in 2019.
Will probably soon be Kristian Fulton, that enabled the smallest sum of downs this past year out of all returning FBS corners. Although this group is now in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, it will be a push if given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, who hasnt got their running game this season, going. A tackle broke at the line on his approach last weekend. In spite of this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also is currently going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front may not be potent. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and thats including Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky match.
It places a lot of pressure on Trask at a hostile environment, Should they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned respect following a week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out in Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this sport staying than most.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, also Burrow is just one of the more intelligent QBs in the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to put up 45 or something close to this against a defense who is known at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has completely developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
Since the group has relied on them, the Gators defense will probably work out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from Jefferson or the Chase into some PIs.
But I do not anticipate this. Keeping the match in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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